KalshiOpen

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 50

No99%

Above 501%

Price checked at Oct 25, 04:31 AM UTC

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24h volume$3.5K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 9 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 30	Kalshi	74% No	$1.7K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 15	Kalshi	92% Above 15	$652	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 40	Kalshi	97% No	$331	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 20	Kalshi	80% Above 20	$65	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 27	Kalshi	65% No	$15	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 35	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 25	Kalshi	53% Above 25	$0	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 23	Kalshi	64% Above 23	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 04:57 AM UTC