KalshiOpen

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 160

Above 16089%

No11%

Price checked at Oct 25, 07:08 AM UTC

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24h volume$290

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 9 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 160 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 210	Kalshi	92% No	$3.8K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 185	Kalshi	58% Above 185	$2.1K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 190	Kalshi	52% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 220	Kalshi	96% No	$867	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 180	Kalshi	66% Above 180	$643	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 170	Kalshi	82% Above 170	$444	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 150	Kalshi	93% Above 150	$56	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 205	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 200	Kalshi	74% No	$0	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 195	Kalshi	62% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 07:46 AM UTC