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Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 310 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 310

No78%
Above 31022%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 23, 11:25 PMOct 24, 06:57 AMOct 24, 02:28 PMOct 24, 10:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 310 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

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As of Oct 24, 10:40 PM UTC