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South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%? Annie Andrews, 4-6%

No97%
Annie Andrews, 4-6%4%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread3%
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 23, 10:50 PMOct 24, 04:57 AMOct 24, 11:04 AMOct 24, 05:11 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Annie Andrews minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Annie Andrews if Annie Andrews wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Annie Andrews loses. If Annie Andrews wins, the margin will be positive; if Annie Andrews loses, the margin will be negative; if Annie Andrews ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Annie Andrews runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%? Annie Andrews, 0-2%Kalshi89% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 6%? Annie Andrews, ≥6%Kalshi98% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%? Darline Graham, 2-4%Kalshi86% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Annie Andrews in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 2% and 4%? Annie Andrews, 2-4%Kalshi92% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 4% and 6%? Darline Graham, 4-6%Kalshi85% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%? Darline Graham, 0-2%Kalshi87% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 6% and 8%? Darline Graham, 6-8%Kalshi87% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 14%? Darline Graham, ≥14%Kalshi90% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 8% and 10%? Darline Graham, 8-10%Kalshi91% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 12% and 14%? Darline Graham, 12-14%Kalshi95% NoOpen
South Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 10% and 12%? Darline Graham, 10-12%Kalshi93% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 06:19 PM UTC