PolymarketOpen

Medvedev vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Over89%
Under12%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$513
Spread15%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:06 AMOct 24, 07:24 AMOct 24, 12:42 PMOct 24, 06:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander BublikPolymarket100% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+1.5)Polymarket51% Alexander BublikOpen
Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander BublikPolymarket100% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-2.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+2.5)Polymarket50% Alexander BublikOpen
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Almaty Open: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander BublikPolymarket100% NoOpen
Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket51% Over 2.5Open
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander BublikPolymarket50% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket66% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Bublik: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 24, 06:12 PM UTC