KalshiResolved

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 69,500 MW?

No97%

Above 69,500 MW3%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 is above 69,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 23, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 68,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$2.8K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 65,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$2K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?	Kalshi	96% Above 63,000 MW	$2K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 64,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$1.7K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 68,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 63,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 63,500 MW	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 64,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$770	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 66,500 MW?	Kalshi	98% No	$151	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 65,500 MW?	Kalshi	97% No	$1	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 70,000 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 69,000 MW?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 67,500 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 67,000 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 66,000 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?	Kalshi	98% Above 61,500 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?	Kalshi	96% Above 62,000 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 62,500 MW?	Kalshi	94% Above 62,500 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 09:19 PM UTC