KalshiOpen

Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?

No88%
At least 16%13%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread10%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Treg Taylor in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Treg Taylor ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi80% At least 8%Open
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi95% At least 6%Open
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi97% At least 2%Open
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi97% At least 4%Open
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi58% NoOpen
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round): Will Treg Taylor receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi75% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 03:41 AM UTC