PolymarketOpen

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 13, 2026?

No93%
Yes7%

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24h volume$105
7d volume$346
30d volume$346
Liquidity$549
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 14, 2026in 20 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 04:24 PMOct 23, 10:25 AMOct 24, 04:26 AMOct 24, 10:27 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 20, 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 29, 2026?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 26, 2026?Polymarket83% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on or prior to October 23, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 1, 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 5, 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 7, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 30, 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 24, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 29, 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 27, 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 30, 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 6, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 26, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 27, 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 28, 2026?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 19, 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 4, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 23, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 12, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 28, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 24, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 11, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 11:14 PM UTC