KalshiResolved

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.42% or above

No60%

5.42% or above40%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 22, 20262 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.48% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.46% or above	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.36% or above	Kalshi	68% 5.36% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.34% or above	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.38% or above	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.4% or above	Kalshi	52% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.26% or above	Kalshi	98% 5.26% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.3% or above	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.28% or above	Kalshi	96% 5.28% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% on Oct 22, 2026? 5.32% or above	Kalshi	79% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 04:46 PM UTC