Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?

No78%
Yes23%

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24h volume$83
7d volume$83
30d volume$83
Liquidity$1.7K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 22, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 21, 11:02 PMOct 22, 10:21 AMOct 22, 09:40 PMOct 23, 09:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa on October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-sioux-city-ia-president-donald-j-trump-djt) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on October 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi specifies video/transcript resolution, a Nov. 5, 2026 settlement time, and cancellation/postponement handling; Polymarket publishes no criteria in the prompt. These differences are procedural only and do not change the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?

    Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa on October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-sioux-city-ia-president-donald-j-trump-djt) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on October 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

  • What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? AI / Artificial Intelligence

    If Donald Trump says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Trump say "France" or "Paris" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Google" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket88% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Right to Repair" or "Right to Fix" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Iowa not air?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket99% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Polymarket100% YesOpen

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As of Oct 24, 09:50 PM UTC