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US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $1,100 billion?

No97%
Above $1,100 billion3%

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24h volume$22.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 9 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 is above $1,100 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 23, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $1,075 billion?Kalshi98% NoOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $1,050 billion?Kalshi93% NoOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $950 billion?Kalshi99% Above $950 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $975 billion?Kalshi59% NoOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $1,025 billion?Kalshi95% NoOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $1,000 billion?Kalshi89% NoOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $900 billion?Kalshi96% Above $900 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $925 billion?Kalshi90% Above $925 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $875 billion?Kalshi98% Above $875 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 be above $850 billion?Kalshi96% Above $850 billionOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 10:37 PM UTC