Will US building permits for October 2026 be above 1.350M?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the value of US building permits (total units) for October 2026 is above 1.350M (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first-published U.S. building permits value for October 2026, as released in the Census New Residential Construction report and reflected by Trading Economics on the initial release date. Later revised, final, or updated building permits releases, including the revised permits release approximately one week later, will not be used for resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will US building permits for October 2026 be above 1.250M? | Kalshi | 97% Above 1.250M | Open |
| Will US building permits for October 2026 be above 1.450M? | Kalshi | 83% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for October 2026 be above 1.500M? | Kalshi | 96% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for October 2026 be above 1.400M? | Kalshi | 58% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for October 2026 be above 1.550M? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for October 2026 be above 1.300M? | Kalshi | 87% Above 1.300M | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 10:06 AM UTC