KalshiOpen

Meta market share this week? Above 2.3%

No99%
Above 2.3%1%

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24h volume$468
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread88%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 9 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Meta scores above 2.3% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For this series, Meta refers to the model author shown as Meta Llama in the OpenRouter source chart. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 19, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Meta market share this week? Above 2.0%Kalshi87% NoOpen
Meta market share this week? Above 1.9%Kalshi98% NoOpen
Meta market share this week? Above 1.8%Kalshi96% NoOpen
Meta market share this week? Above 1.7%Kalshi90% NoOpen
Meta market share this week? Above 2.2%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Meta market share this week? Above 2.5%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Meta market share this week? Above 2.1%Kalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 03:22 PM UTC