KalshiResolved

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 21, 2026? 38.6%

No99%
38.6%1%

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24h volume$148.2K
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ResolvesOct 21, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 21, 02:08 AMOct 21, 11:02 AMOct 21, 07:56 PMOct 22, 04:50 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

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As of Oct 24, 11:54 PM UTC