Will Trump do anything on Oct 21, 2026? Yes
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has taken any presidential actions on Oct 21, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 22, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication date visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET the following day. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 with a backdated Jan 9 publication date → resolves No Bill signed into law and shows up on "Briefings & Statements" instead of "Presidential Actions" → resolves No
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As of Oct 24, 07:49 PM UTC