KalshiResolved

Will the natural gas close price be above 3.170 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.170

No99%
Above $3.1701%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$9.6K
7d volume—
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ResolvesOct 21, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 21, 12:53 AMOct 21, 09:41 AMOct 21, 06:29 PMOct 22, 03:17 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3.170 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.185 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.185Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.165 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.165Kalshi99% Above $3.165Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.155 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.155Kalshi99% Above $3.155Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.190 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.190Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.150 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.150Kalshi99% Above $3.150Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.180 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.180Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.140 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.140Kalshi99% Above $3.140Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.160 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.160Kalshi98% Above $3.160Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.175 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.175Kalshi87% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.220 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.220Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.215 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.215Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.225 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.225Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.200 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.200Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.210 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.210Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.195 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.195Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.115 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.115Kalshi94% Above $3.115Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.230 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.230Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.240 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.240Kalshi95% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.145 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.145Kalshi99% Above $3.145Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.205 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.205Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.120 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.120Kalshi95% Above $3.120Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.235 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.235Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.125 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.125Kalshi97% Above $3.125Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.245 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.245Kalshi95% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.130 USD/MMBtu on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.130Kalshi93% Above $3.130Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 07:59 AM UTC