Justin Jefferson: Longest Reception O/U 24.5

Under72%
Over28%

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Liquidity$25
Spread54%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Vikings, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Justin Jefferson records a reception of more than 24.5 yards in this game, and to "Under" if Justin Jefferson does not record a reception of more than 24.5 yards. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.nfl.com/scores

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles from the official NFL game book and has explicit rules for inactivity, postponement, and cancellation; Kalshi settles on the same player/game/24.5-yard condition and adds a different inactive/never-snap rule. These criteria differ in no material way for the comparison.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Justin Jefferson: Longest Reception O/U 24.5

    In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Vikings, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Justin Jefferson records a reception of more than 24.5 yards in this game, and to "Under" if Justin Jefferson does not record a reception of more than 24.5 yards. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Justin Jefferson: longest reception over 24.5 yards Justin Jefferson: over 24.5 yards

    If Justin Jefferson records a longest reception of over 24.5 yards in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Justin Jefferson in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Justin Jefferson is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Justin Jefferson takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on longest reception recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Mallory: Anytime TouchdownPolymarket93% NoOpen
Keenan Allen: Receptions O/U 4.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 5.5Polymarket73% UnderOpen
T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 4.5Polymarket78% UnderOpen
Jordan Mason: Anytime TouchdownPolymarket83% NoOpen
Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5Polymarket72% UnderOpen
Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5Polymarket76% UnderOpen
Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5Polymarket72% UnderOpen
Kyler Murray: Passing Completions O/U 15.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5Polymarket82% UnderOpen
Daniel Jones: Passing Yards O/U 249.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Kyler Murray: Passing Yards O/U 299.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Daniel Jones: Passing Completions O/U 21.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 2.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Will Mallory: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts)Polymarket50% NoOpen
Myles Price: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings)Polymarket50% NoOpen
DeeJay Dallas: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings)Polymarket50% NoOpen
Jauan Jennings: 2+ TouchdownsPolymarket99% NoOpen
Ben Yurosek: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings)Polymarket50% YesOpen
Mo Alie-Cox: Receptions O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Will Mallory: Receptions O/U 1.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Aaron Jones Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Polymarket78% UnderOpen
Mo Alie-Cox: Receptions O/U 1.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
DeeJay Dallas: 2+ TouchdownsPolymarket50% NoOpen
Seth McGowan: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 25, 07:52 AM UTC