PolymarketOpen

Will Lautaro Martinez finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No98%
Yes2%

Price checked at

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24h volume$10
7d volume$70
30d volume$70
Liquidity$1.5K
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 5th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 5th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket65% YesOpen
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket83% NoOpen
Will Michael Olise finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Lamine Yamal finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Marquinhos finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Erling Haaland finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Jude Bellingham finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Declan Rice finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Luis Diaz finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Sadio Mané finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Nuno Mendes finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Harry Kane finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will William Saliba finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Ferran Torres finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Vitinha finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Marc Cucurella finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Julián Quiñones finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Dayot Upamecano finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will João Neves finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 06:56 PM UTC