PolymarketOpen

1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No95%
Yes6%

Price checked at

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24h volume$52
7d volume$2.5K
30d volume$2.5K
Liquidity$22.6K
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 1win's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 1win (https://x.com/1winToken) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?Polymarket71% YesOpen
1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?Polymarket88% YesOpen
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?Polymarket83% NoOpen
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?Polymarket59% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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As of Oct 24, 01:39 PM UTC