Set Handicap: Keegan Smith (-1.5) vs Fajing Sun (+1.5)
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Fajing Sun in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Keegan Smith" if Keegan Smith wins by 2 or more sets than Fajing Sun, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Fajing Sun." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Keegan Smith can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Fajing Sun." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun | Polymarket | 51% Keegan Smith | Open |
| Guangzhou 2: Completed Match: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Keegan Smith vs. Fajing Sun: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Game Spread: Keegan Smith (-2.5) vs Fajing Sun (+2.5) | Polymarket | 50% Fajing Sun | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 59% Over | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun | Polymarket | 50% Keegan Smith | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 53% Over | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Smith vs. Sun: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun | Polymarket | 50% Keegan Smith | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 12:08 AM UTC