Predict.funOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?

No85%

Yes16%

Price checked at Oct 25, 10:13 AM UTC

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Resolution rules

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. PredictFun does not list an explicit resolvesAt or resolutionSource, while Polymarket does. Their published criteria otherwise match materially, including the June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET cutoff and the same launch-based settlement rule.

this market
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
6 holders · 45 comments · read Oct 14, 07:43 PM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 10:34 AM UTC