Predict.funOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No95%

Yes5%

Price checked at Oct 25, 06:02 AM UTC

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on a Doge-1 launch by Dec. 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, with the same yes/no criteria and launch corroboration language. Polymarket lists an explicit resolution source and settlement timestamp; PredictFun leaves those fields blank.

this market
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
194 holders · 45 comments · read Oct 12, 10:12 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 06:16 AM UTC