PolymarketOpen

Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes89%
No11%

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24h volume$55
7d volume$13.6K
30d volume$13.6K
Liquidity$11.4K
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Greenville County in the election for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Greenville County.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Polymarket90% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 10:51 AM UTC