KalshiOpen

IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 208,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 208,000 points

At least 208,000 points82%
No18%

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24h volume$6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread15%
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV), in native index points is at least 208,000 index points at the official B3 closing observation on October 26, 2026 (Brazil trading date), then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves using the official IBOVESPA (IBOV) closing level for October 26, 2026, including the closing auction. The observation is the official close for that Brazil trading date, even if its publication is delayed. The native index-point level is used, with no currency conversion; this explicitly overrides the default USD iteration. Source Agencies apply in the filed hierarchical order: the index, its provider (B3), TradingView, Trading Economics, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, BBC, CNBC, and CNN. TradingView's IBOV page is https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/. The observation is evaluated to two decimal places. If it is at least 208,000 index points, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. An earlier threshold crossing does not satisfy this closing or exact-time observation. Revisions after expiration are not considered. If no data for the specified observation is available by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than No data or None resolve to No, as provided in the filed terms. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the B3. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 218,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 218,000 pointsKalshi82% NoOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 194,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 194,000 pointsKalshi74% At least 194,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 195,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 195,000 pointsKalshi67% At least 195,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 196,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 196,000 pointsKalshi90% At least 196,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 203,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 203,000 pointsKalshi67% At least 203,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 205,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 205,000 pointsKalshi77% At least 205,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 217,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 217,000 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 199,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 199,000 pointsKalshi85% At least 199,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 193,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 193,000 pointsKalshi77% At least 193,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 198,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 198,000 pointsKalshi76% At least 198,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 201,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 201,000 pointsKalshi64% At least 201,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 220,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 220,000 pointsKalshi70% NoOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 211,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 211,000 pointsKalshi68% At least 211,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 219,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 219,000 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 197,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 197,000 pointsKalshi76% At least 197,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 192,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 192,000 pointsKalshi86% At least 192,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 210,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 210,000 pointsKalshi66% At least 210,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 191,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 191,000 pointsKalshi86% At least 191,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 213,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 213,000 pointsKalshi54% NoOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 207,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 207,000 pointsKalshi75% At least 207,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 216,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 216,000 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 200,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 200,000 pointsKalshi73% At least 200,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 190,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 190,000 pointsKalshi86% At least 190,000 pointsOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 215,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 215,000 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 202,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 202,000 pointsKalshi66% At least 202,000 pointsOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:23 PM UTC