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Hungary rate decision in November: Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Council policy meeting?

No99%
Hike more than 25bps1%

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24h volume$100
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 17, 2026in 24 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Magyar Nemzeti Bank takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its November Monetary Council policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

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As of Oct 24, 03:53 PM UTC