Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?: Will Savannah Maddox be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

No94%
Savannah Maddox7%

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Spread1%
ResolvesMay 18, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Savannah Maddox wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. If the nominee is not listed, every market resolves to No.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. They differ only in resolution mechanics and timing: Polymarket cites the Kentucky Republican Party announcement or overwhelming credible reporting and resolves later, while Kalshi allows accelerated determination from media consensus. These published criteria do not materially change the event being priced.
  • Will Savannah Maddox be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027. If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

  • Kalshithis market

    Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?: Will Savannah Maddox be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

    If Savannah Maddox wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. If the nominee is not listed, every market resolves to No.

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As of Oct 24, 04:55 PM UTC