PolymarketDelisted

Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+1.5)

Daniil Medvedev87%
Sho Shimabukuro14%

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24h volume$67
7d volume$67
30d volume$67
Liquidity$14.3K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20, 10:45 AMOct 21, 05:10 AMOct 21, 11:35 PMOct 22, 06:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Sho Shimabukuro, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sho Shimabukuro." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniil Medvedev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sho Shimabukuro." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho ShimabukuroPolymarket100% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-5.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+5.5)Polymarket81% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Almaty Open: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho ShimabukuroPolymarket54% YesOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho ShimabukuroPolymarket100% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho ShimabukuroPolymarket86% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Daniil Medvedev vs. Sho Shimabukuro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket86% Under 2.5Open
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Shimabukuro: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 25, 01:55 AM UTC