KalshiResolved

Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4202 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4202

No99%
Above $42021%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$97
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 21, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20, 10:10 AMOct 21, 02:18 AMOct 21, 06:26 PMOct 22, 10:35 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4202 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4142 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4142Kalshi91% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4132 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4132Kalshi99% Above $4132Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4122 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4122Kalshi98% Above $4122Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4112 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4112Kalshi98% Above $4112Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4152 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4152Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4182 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4182Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4102 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4102Kalshi97% Above $4102Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4092 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4092Kalshi99% Above $4092Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4072 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4072Kalshi99% Above $4072Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4082 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4082Kalshi99% Above $4082Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4162 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4162Kalshi96% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4172 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4172Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4032 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4032Kalshi99% Above $4032Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4022 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4022Kalshi99% Above $4022Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4192 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4192Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4052 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4052Kalshi99% Above $4052Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4212 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4212Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4222 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4222Kalshi—Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4062 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4062Kalshi97% Above $4062Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4042 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4042Kalshi98% Above $4042Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4002 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4002Kalshi—Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4012 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4012Kalshi—Open
Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4252 USD/t.oz on October 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4252Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 24, 08:49 PM UTC