Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid wins
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 25, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The same question elsewhere
6 venues carry itBarcelona vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid wins
This market refers to the La Liga match between Barcelona (BAR) and Real Madrid (REA), scheduled for 2026-10-25 20:00 UTC. - BAR: If Barcelona wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - REA: If Real Madrid wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BAR and REA options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/ Resolves Yes if Real Madrid wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
read Oct 24, 06:43 PM UTC
Real Madrid wins
If Real Madrid wins the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Oct 23, 09:33 PM UTC
FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF wins
Novig La Liga moneyline 3 way win market on FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF, scheduled 2026-10-25 20:00 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Oct 24, 05:07 PM UTC
Real Madrid vs Barcelona: regulation time: Real Madrid wins
This market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the LaLiga match between Real Madrid and Barcelona scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
read Oct 24, 02:34 AM UTC
- this market
Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid wins
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 25, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
4 holders · read Oct 24, 05:04 PM UTC
FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF, Moneyline - Reg Time: Real Madrid CF
The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.
read Oct 24, 07:44 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Barcelona wins | Limitless | 60% Yes | Open |
| Will Barcelona vs Real Madrid end in a draw? | Limitless | 85% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 hours agoBest bid 24% · best ask 25%
Top holders
- 0xD9dAb863691eCa0726A917170da0F834011bE966No$360
- 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28Yes$122
- 0xC36B0C82478B3257866B6023116C1F62a941D970No$3
- pouriaYes$1
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —75%$238yesterday
- —75%$127yesterday
- —27%$13 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 24, 08:02 PM UTC