Will Monaco vs Lille end in a draw?

No72%
Yes29%

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ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "YES" if the match specified in the title ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "YES." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Opinion and Limitless resolve on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi says the same but uses its own rule for cancellations/reschedules. Their published criteria differ only in settlement details, not in the event/outcome being priced.
  • Will Monaco vs Lille end in a draw?

    This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Monaco (MON) and Lille (LIL), scheduled for 2026-10-25 14:00 UTC. - MON: If Monaco wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LIL: If Lille wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MON and LIL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/ Resolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.

    read Oct 24, 07:00 PM UTC

  • Tie is the result

    If Tie is the result of the Monaco vs Lille professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Monaco vs Lille professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 23, 08:43 AM UTC

  • Limitlessthis market

    Will Monaco vs Lille end in a draw?

    This market will resolve to "YES" if the match specified in the title ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "YES." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    0 holders · read Oct 24, 12:29 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Monaco vs Lille: Lille winsLimitless76% NoOpen
Monaco vs Lille: Monaco winsLimitless53% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 27% · best ask 30%

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As of Oct 24, 07:13 PM UTC