Athletic Club vs Getafe: Getafe wins

No86%
Yes15%

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ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 25, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on settlement details such as source hierarchy and how postponement/cancellation is handled, and they publish slightly different settlement timestamps. These differences do not change the underlying event or outcome being priced.
  • Athletic Club vs Getafe: Getafe wins

    This market refers to the La Liga match between Athletic Club (BIL) and Getafe (GET), scheduled for 2026-10-25 13:00 UTC. - BIL: If Athletic Club wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - GET: If Getafe wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BIL and GET options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/ Resolves Yes if Getafe wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.

    read Oct 24, 11:03 PM UTC

  • Getafe vs Athletic: regulation time: Getafe wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Getafe wins the LaLiga match between Getafe and Athletic scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

  • Limitlessthis market

    Athletic Club vs Getafe: Getafe wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 25, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    2 holders · read Oct 24, 07:39 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Athletic Club vs Getafe: Athletic Club winsLimitless62% YesOpen
Will Athletic Club vs Getafe end in a draw?Limitless76% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders2
Held value$3
Trades (24h)—
Trades1
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 14% · best ask 15%

Top holders

  • 0x637A52f0854d9052259a2DF638c6D8AA74C13F26No$3
  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28Yes$0

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —86%$3yesterday

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As of Oct 24, 11:46 PM UTC