OpinionOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Alaska Senate Election Winner — Dustin Darden

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Yes—

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ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Opinion publish the same resolution criteria, while Pascal gives no independent criteria and points to the Polymarket market. The published settlement time differs by one minute, but that is not material to the question.

Open
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
103 holders · 15 comments · read Oct 3, 11:04 AM UTC
Open
Alaska Senate Winner: Dustin Darden
The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.
read Oct 25, 12:51 AM UTC
this market
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Dustin Darden
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
read Oct 24, 11:55 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Sen. Dan Sullivan	Opinion	31% Yes	$8	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Ann Diener	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Mary Peltola	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Richard Grayson	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Election Winner — David Leslie	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 hours ago

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Best bid 98% · best ask —

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As of Oct 25, 01:33 AM UTC