Best AI this week MUSE
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Meta has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best AI this week Gemini | Kalshi | 98% Gemini | Open |
| Best AI this week Claude | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Best AI this week ChatGPT | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Best AI this week Amazon Nova | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Best AI this week Dola | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Best AI this week Grok | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Best AI this week Kimi | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Best AI this week Qwen | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 03:19 PM UTC