PolymarketOpen

Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?

No92%
Yes9%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$1
7d volume$2.6K
30d volume$2.6K
Liquidity$493
Spread3%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic officially announces a commitment to contribute shares of Anthropic to Trump Accounts by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump Accounts refers to the federal tax-advantaged investment accounts for American children created under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which are seeded with a $1,000 government contribution for children born from 2025 through 2028. A commitment to contribute any amount of Anthropic shares or other equity in Anthropic to Trump Accounts will qualify, including shares held by the Anthropic Public Benefit Fund. Commitments to contribute only cash will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be issued by Anthropic, or by an Anthropic executive in a public statement, and must clearly and unambiguously communicate that Anthropic has committed to make such a contribution. A commitment will qualify even if it is subject to stockholder, regulatory, or other approvals. Statements expressing interest in, consideration of, or openness to such a contribution will not qualify. Statements made solely by third parties, including government officials or other companies, will not qualify unless confirmed by Anthropic. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is later modified, withdrawn, or ever fulfilled. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 03:13 PM UTC