KalshiOpen

OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.4%

No97%
Above 18.4%3%

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24h volume$3.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread36%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If OpenAI scores above 18.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 19, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.7%Kalshi96% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 19.0%Kalshi99% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 17.7%Kalshi99% Above 17.7%Open
OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.1%Kalshi71% Above 18.1%Open
OpenAI market share this week? Above 19.9%Kalshi99% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 21.2%Kalshi99% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 14.7%Kalshi99% Above 14.7%Open
OpenAI market share this week? Above 16.5%Kalshi99% Above 16.5%Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 07:18 PM UTC