Kody Steele wins

Kody Steele99%
No1%

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24h volume$36.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026this minute

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kody Steele wins the Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Polymarket uses official UFC info and has explicit draw/no contest/postponement handling, while Kalshi and Novig use their own contract rules for those edge cases. The event, fighters, and win direction are the same.
  • Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon: Kody Steele wins

    Novig UFC money market on Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon, scheduled 2026-10-24 14:20 UTC. Sides: Kody Steele / Noah Gugnon. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 08:55 AM UTC

  • UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Noah Gugnon" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Kody Steele" if Kody Steele is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Kalshithis market

    Kody Steele wins

    If Kody Steele wins the Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Noah Gugnon winsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 07:20 PM UTC