PolymarketOpen

Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

No98%
Yes2%

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24h volume$75
7d volume$1K
30d volume$1K
Liquidity$1.5K
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket67% YesOpen
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Moshe Feiglin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 12:24 PM UTC