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Will Alberto Fernández win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$48.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 2027in 12 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket54% NoOpen
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket89% NoOpen
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Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
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Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket70% NoOpen
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments66

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66 comments

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  • Sniveling-Hammer-Portrait · 4 days ago

    No soy de Argentina , como estan su gobrierno?

  • nicomcbrain · 9 days ago

    La que está poniendo Sergio Tomas es terrible eh

  • TheMasterMind · 17 days ago

    Fuera el sionista de Milei

  • K1KE · 22 days ago

    De 36% a 28% durisima la caida del economista que se graduo sin leer un libro xd.

  • K1KE · 24 days ago

    En que momento añadieron a Cristina? XD

  • violentito · 26 days ago

    Vendanme unos cfk que vuelve la jefaaa

  • zottos · 26 days ago

    a quien pija le importa lo q diga la onu

  • mileitrader · 26 days ago

    pone las DNS de google

  • TMAP · last month

  • WatchTheTape · last month

    add Messi

  • CryptoBizzi2 · last month

    Lionel Messi will win

  • TMAP · 2 months ago

    Long estupidez argentina (YES KICILLOF)

  • peppone026 · 2 months ago

    Hasta andan pauteando en redes sociales ésos peronistas-k, les pagan por ello. Sinceramente es patético.

  • Jovial-Proliferation · 2 months ago

    como hacen para operar desde Argentina, pude fondear pero no deja operar

  • GONZALOSILVERO · 2 months ago

    En primer lugar 210% anual no es hiperinflación . En segundo lugar, milei tiene mucho merito de bajar la inflacion. Tercero: no saneo el bcra traslado la deuda al tesoro y emitio pesos para pagar deudas, por eso lal inflacion durante su gobierno ronda el 250%-300 en total, aunque ahora este baja. La principal causal de baja de inflacion fue la caida del consumo, el aumento del desempleo y la perdida de poder adquisitivo de los que mantuvieron sus empleos y esto en gran medida explica la crisis de deuda actual. Por supuesto como en toda sociedad algunos gsnan y otros pierden, por ejemplo los que pueden vacacionar al exterior con el dolar atrasado ganaron o los que no llegan a fin de mes y tarjetean perdieron. La mora refleja en buena medida el mal manejo de la economía de la gestion y quien paga la fiesta de otros...

  • GONZALOSILVERO · 2 months ago

    En primer lugar 200% anual no es hiperinflacion. En segundo fue un gran merito de milei de hecjo fue el unico merito de la gestion 😂.

  • GONZALOSILVERO · 2 months ago

    Milei hizo un buen trabajo con la inflacion hay se acaba el merito.

  • Distinct-Soap · 2 months ago

    Acá en Argentina, se endeudaron en Mercafo Libre y después borraron la app pensando que así también se borraba la deuda. SUPER MANDRILES JAJAJA

  • Distinct-Soap · 2 months ago

    Por eso mismo , porque són peronistas-kirchneristas. Que van a decir ? Sabés el dolor que tienen de pasar de un gobierno progreizquierdista proteccionista que desfalcó al estado durante años y armó infinidades de negocios espureos (obra pública, entre otros) a tener que soportar a un loco de derecha que llegó al poder salteandose toda la parte sucia de la política y que en 3 años tuvo logros macroeconómicos impresionantes ? SI MILEI repite en 2.027 , prepárense porque vuelve la que fue la joya latinoamericana con todo su esplendor.

  • Distinct-Soap · 2 months ago

    Claro campeón , lo decís porque estás apostando por Massa. Sos otro operador puesto aquí a tratar de hacer lobby por el tipo que hizo un desastre cuando le toco ser "ministro de economía"

As of Oct 25, 07:51 AM UTC