Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (-4.5)

IND +4.583%
MICH -4.517%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 24, 20262 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Novig NCAAF spread market on Michigan vs Indiana, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC. Sides: MICH -4.5 / IND +4.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement details: Polymarket uses NCAA.com and resolves 50-50 if canceled, Gemini uses multiple source agencies and a review process for unavailable results, Kalshi resolves to fair price if the game is not started within 48 hours, and Novig uses its own rulebook/fair market value for voids. These do not change the underlying spread question.
  • Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Indiana". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Michigan in the entire college football game between Indiana and Michigan scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Michigan's score minus Indiana's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 23, 09:53 PM UTC

  • Michigan wins by over 4.5 points

    If Michigan wins by more than 4.5 points in the Indiana vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 24, 05:13 PM UTC

  • Novigthis market

    Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (-4.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Michigan vs Indiana, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC. Sides: MICH -4.5 / IND +4.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 12:28 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+7.5)Novig55% MICH +7.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: total points O/U 42.5Novig56% Under 42.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+6.5)Novig53% IND -6.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+9.5)Novig61% MICH +9.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+5.5)Novig60% IND -5.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+4.5)Novig55% IND -4.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: total points O/U 43.5Novig58% Under 43.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: Michigan winsNovig71% IndianaOpen
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+13.5)Novig68% MICH +13.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+17.5)Novig74% MICH +17.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+20.5)Novig80% MICH +20.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+11.5)Novig61% MICH +11.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: total points O/U 41.5Novig74% Under 41.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: total points O/U 40.5Novig59% Over 40.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: total points O/U 39.5Novig54% Over 39.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: 1st half total points O/U 20.5Novig56% Under 20.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+16.5)Novig75% MICH +16.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+8.5)Novig61% IND -8.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: 1st half spread: Michigan (+3.5)Novig56% IND -3.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: total points O/U 28.5Novig76% Over 28.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: Michigan team total points O/U 17.5Novig55% Under 17.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+10.5)Novig65% MICH +10.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (+3.5)Novig63% IND -3.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: Michigan team total points O/U 16.5Novig54% Over 16.5Open
Michigan vs Indiana: Indiana team total points O/U 24.5Novig52% Over 24.5Open

Venue activity

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Best bid 16% · best ask 18%

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As of Oct 24, 06:00 PM UTC