Puebla vs Atlas: regulation time: Atlas wins

Yes57%
No44%

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Spread3%
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Atlas wins the Liga MX match between Atlas and Puebla scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only in settlement mechanics and timing: Gemini lists a later resolvesAt and a generic market review process, while Kalshi gives a fair-price rule for cancellation/rescheduling over 48 hours. These published criteria do not materially change the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    Puebla vs Atlas: regulation time: Atlas wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Atlas wins the Liga MX match between Atlas and Puebla scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 02:43 AM UTC

  • Atlas wins

    If Atlas wins the Atlas vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Atlas vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
regulation time: Will Puebla vs Atlas end in a draw?Gemini77% NoOpen
Puebla vs Atlas: regulation time: Club Puebla winsGemini80% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 05:39 PM UTC