Galatasaray vs Lille: regulation time spread: Galatasaray (-1.5)

Galatasaray (-1.5)100%
Lille (+1.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 23, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19, 01:54 PMOct 20, 07:37 AMOct 21, 01:20 AMOct 21, 07:02 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Galatasaray beats Lille OSC by more than 1.5 goals in the UEFA Champions League scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Galatasaray's goals minus Lille OSC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in resolution mechanics: Gemini cites a broader source hierarchy and a market outcome review process, while Polymarket uses uefa.com with fallback data and a 50-50 rule for cancellation/postponement. Those differences do not change the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    Galatasaray vs Lille: regulation time spread: Galatasaray (-1.5)

    If Galatasaray beats Lille OSC by more than 1.5 goals in the UEFA Champions League scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Galatasaray's goals minus Lille OSC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

  • Lille OSC vs Galatasaray SK: spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)

    In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 21 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lille OSC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Galatasaray vs Lille: regulation time spread: Galatasaray (-2.5)Gemini100% Lille (+2.5)Open
Galatasaray vs Lille: regulation time spread: Lille (-1.5)Gemini100% Galatasaray (+1.5)Open
Galatasaray vs Lille: regulation time spread: Lille (-2.5)Gemini100% Galatasaray (+2.5)Open
Galatasaray vs Lille: regulation time spread: Galatasaray (-3.5)Gemini100% Lille (+3.5)Open

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As of Oct 25, 09:39 AM UTC