Austin vs Kansas City: regulation time: Austin wins

No68%
Yes33%

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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 26, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Austin wins the Major League Soccer match between Austin and Kansas City originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Kalshi mentions a fair-price rule for cancellation/rescheduling, Novig references fair-market-value settlement on void, and Gemini cites its own source-agency hierarchy and review process. The underlying question and outcome threshold are the same.
  • Austin wins

    If Austin wins the Kansas City vs Austin professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Austin professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 22, 02:28 PM UTC

  • Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC: Austin FC wins

    Novig MLS moneyline 3 way win market on Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC, scheduled 2026-10-25 00:30 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 11:36 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Austin vs Kansas City: regulation time: Austin wins

    If Austin wins the Major League Soccer match between Austin and Kansas City originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 05:57 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Austin vs Kansas City: regulation time: Sporting Kansas City winsGemini57% NoOpen
regulation time: Will Austin vs Kansas City end in a draw?Gemini77% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 07:38 PM UTC