Indianapolis wins by over 9.5 points?

No91%
Indianapolis wins by over 9.5 points9%

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24h volume$66
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Indianapolis wins by more than 9.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles at 2026-10-25T20:00:00Z; Gemini settles later and cites a hierarchy of sources plus fallback review rules. These published criteria differ only in settlement process, not in the event, teams, or -9.5 threshold.
  • Kalshithis market

    Indianapolis wins by over 9.5 points?

    If Indianapolis wins by more than 9.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Indianapolis vs Minnesota: spread: Indianapolis (-9.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Indianapolis in the entire NFL game between Indianapolis and Minnesota scheduled for 2026-10-25 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 9.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Indianapolis's score minus Minnesota's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi51% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi60% Minnesota wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi72% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi61% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi55% Minnesota wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi66% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi58% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi68% Minnesota wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi70% Minnesota wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 20.5 points?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi57% Minnesota wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Minnesota wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi76% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi81% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi92% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:24 PM UTC