New York J wins by over 3.5 points?

New York J wins by over 3.5 points52%
No48%

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24h volume$308
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New York J wins by more than 3.5 points in the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They reference the same Miami vs New York J game and the same -3.5 spread threshold. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Gemini specifies a later expiration and a source hierarchy/cancellation process, while Kalshi gives a simpler rule.
  • Kalshithis market

    New York J wins by over 3.5 points?

    If New York J wins by more than 3.5 points in the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New York J in the entire NFL game between Miami and New York J scheduled for 2026-10-25 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New York J's score minus Miami's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Miami wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi72% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi50% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi53% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi77% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi56% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi61% New York J wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
New York J wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi63% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi70% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi80% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi80% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi63% New York J wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
New York J wins by over 20.5 points?Kalshi89% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 17.5 points?Kalshi85% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi75% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi83% NoOpen
New York J wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi66% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Miami wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi90% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 12:47 AM UTC