Seattle wins by over 9.5 points?

No75%
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points25%

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24h volume$16
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 26, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Seattle wins by more than 9.5 points in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use the same spread question and threshold, but their published settlement timing and source/rules language differ. Those differences do not materially change the underlying event being priced.
  • Kalshithis market

    Seattle wins by over 9.5 points?

    If Seattle wins by more than 9.5 points in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Kansas City vs Seattle: spread: Seattle (-9.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Seattle in the entire NFL game between Kansas City and Seattle scheduled for 2026-10-25 at 7:20 p.m. CT is above 9.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Seattle's score minus Kansas City's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi54% Seattle wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Seattle wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi74% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi57% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi63% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi72% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi59% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi60% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi56% Seattle wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi61% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi81% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi75% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi73% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi66% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi83% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 11:55 PM UTC