KalshiResolved

Will the gold close price be above 4111 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4111

Above $411199%
No1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$8.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 20, 20264 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19, 09:15 AMOct 20, 12:34 AMOct 20, 03:53 PMOct 21, 07:12 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4111 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the gold close price be above 4131 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4131Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4121 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4121Kalshi99% Above $4121Open
Will the gold close price be above 4141 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4141Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4181 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4181Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4151 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4151Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4171 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4171Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4041 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4041Kalshi99% Above $4041Open
Will the gold close price be above 4101 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4101Kalshi99% Above $4101Open
Will the gold close price be above 4081 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4081Kalshi99% Above $4081Open
Will the gold close price be above 4161 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4161Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4091 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4091Kalshi99% Above $4091Open
Will the gold close price be above 4291 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4291Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4021 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4021Kalshi99% Above $4021Open
Will the gold close price be above 4201 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4201Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4031 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4031Kalshi92% Above $4031Open
Will the gold close price be above 4281 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4281Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4061 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4061Kalshi99% Above $4061Open
Will the gold close price be above 4071 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4071Kalshi99% Above $4071Open
Will the gold close price be above 4051 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4051Kalshi99% Above $4051Open
Will the gold close price be above 4271 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4271Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4221 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4221Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4191 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4191Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4211 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4211Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4231 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4231Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4331 USD/t.oz on October 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4331Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 03:53 AM UTC