Lens vs Paris FC: Lens wins

No81%
Yes19%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 23 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only on resolution details: some specify official Ligue 1 results, some add fallback/void rules, and resolve times differ slightly. These published criteria do not materially change the event being priced, which is simply whether Lens wins the match.
  • Lens vs Paris FC: Lens wins

    This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Lens (LEN) and Paris FC (PAR), scheduled for 2026-10-24 18:45 UTC. - LEN: If Lens wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - PAR: If Paris FC wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both LEN and PAR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/ Resolves Yes if Lens wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.

    read Oct 24, 05:44 PM UTC

  • Lens wins

    If Lens wins the Lens vs Paris FC professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Lens vs Paris FC professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 24, 07:36 AM UTC

  • Racing Club de Lens vs Paris FC: Racing Club de Lens wins

    Novig Ligue 1 moneyline 3 way win market on Racing Club de Lens vs Paris FC, scheduled 2026-10-24 18:45 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 04:53 PM UTC

  • Limitlessthis market

    Lens vs Paris FC: Lens wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    2 holders · read Oct 24, 06:44 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Lens vs Paris FC: Paris FC winsLimitless52% YesOpen
Will Lens vs Paris FC end in a draw?Limitless71% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders2
Held value$5
Trades (24h)—
Trades1
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 35% · best ask 39%

Top holders

  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No$3
  • 0x1dDCc2802bFB833d6BEbB8d2E0bC488E7c4dFCfCYes$2

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —41%$22 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 07:37 PM UTC