Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-4.5)

New York J (+4.5)80%
Miami (-4.5)20%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Miami in the entire NFL game between Miami and New York J scheduled for 2026-10-25 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Miami's score minus New York J's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi differ on resolution timing and source hierarchy, but both resolve on the same Miami -4.5 game outcome for the same scheduled matchup. The published criteria differ in no material way.
  • Geminithis market

    Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Miami in the entire NFL game between Miami and New York J scheduled for 2026-10-25 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Miami's score minus New York J's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

  • Miami wins by over 4.5 points?

    If Miami wins by more than 4.5 points in the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-4.5)Gemini51% Miami (+4.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-7.5)Gemini64% Miami (+7.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-3.5)Gemini53% New York J (-3.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-3.5)Gemini78% New York J (+3.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-6.5)Gemini58% Miami (+6.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-10.5)Gemini72% Miami (+10.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-2.5)Gemini61% New York J (-2.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-2.5)Gemini72% New York J (+2.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-17.5)Gemini86% Miami (+17.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-9.5)Gemini90% New York J (+9.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-10.5)Gemini92% New York J (+10.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-5.5)Gemini54% Miami (+5.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-14.5)Gemini95% New York J (+14.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-13.5)Gemini94% New York J (+13.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-1.5)Gemini63% New York J (-1.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-5.5)Gemini82% New York J (+5.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-9.5)Gemini67% Miami (+9.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-13.5)Gemini77% Miami (+13.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-1.5)Gemini70% New York J (+1.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-14.5)Gemini80% Miami (+14.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-16.5)Gemini83% Miami (+16.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: New York J (-20.5)Gemini90% Miami (+20.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-6.5)Gemini85% New York J (+6.5)Open
Miami vs New York J: spread: Miami (-7.5)Gemini88% New York J (+7.5)Open

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As of Oct 24, 04:25 AM UTC