Memphis wins by over 3.5 points

Memphis wins by over 3.5 points99%
No1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$120.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 23, 20262 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Memphis wins by more than 3.5 points in the East Carolina vs Memphis college football game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Venues differ on settlement source and fine print: Polymarket cites NCAA.com and treats cancellation as 50-50, Gemini uses exchange source agencies and a review process, and Kalshi uses official game result with a fair-price fallback if not started within 48 hours. These differences do not change the underlying spread question.
  • East Carolina vs Memphis: spread: Memphis (-3.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 22 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "East Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • East Carolina vs Memphis: spread: Memphis (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Memphis in the entire college football game between East Carolina and Memphis scheduled for 2026-10-22 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Memphis's score minus East Carolina's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 23, 11:50 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Memphis wins by over 3.5 points

    If Memphis wins by more than 3.5 points in the East Carolina vs Memphis college football game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Memphis wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
East Carolina wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
East Carolina wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
East Carolina wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Memphis wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 08:41 PM UTC