TCU wins by over 4.5 points

TCU wins by over 4.5 points68%
No32%

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24h volume$16
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 17 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If TCU wins by more than 4.5 points in the West Virginia vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ in settlement mechanics, not the underlying event: Polymarket uses NCAA score/result language and resolves 50-50 on cancellation, Kalshi resolves by official final result or fair price if not started within 48 hours, and Novig says the exchange rulebook governs and voids to fair market value.
  • West Virginia vs TCU: spread: TCU (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "West Virginia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    TCU wins by over 4.5 points

    If TCU wins by more than 4.5 points in the West Virginia vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • TCU vs West Virginia: spread: TCU (-4.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on TCU vs West Virginia, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC. Sides: TCU -4.5 / WVU +4.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 12:58 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
TCU wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi53% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi50% NoOpen
West Virginia wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi56% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi66% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi70% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi54% TCU wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
TCU wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi68% TCU wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
West Virginia wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi62% TCU wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
TCU wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi56% TCU wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
West Virginia wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
West Virginia wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi90% NoOpen
West Virginia wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi74% TCU wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
West Virginia wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi91% NoOpen
West Virginia wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
West Virginia wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi65% TCU wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
West Virginia wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi92% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi77% NoOpen
TCU wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi75% TCU wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 02:15 AM UTC